John Smart

Earth's electronic systems have been self-organizing at the speed of light since Faraday's time. During the 20th century, several areas of computational and technological capacity have continuously accelerated, even independent of economic recession, driven primarily by powerful physical and economic efficiencies discovered by physicists and engineers working at small scales.

The generalized rate of electronic evolutionary development is at least seven million times faster than biological information processing, the speed of an action potential and synaptic diffusion in a human brain. In an utterly surprising state of affairs, each new generation of computing system has been, without exception, increasingly miniaturized, increasingly resource efficient (per standard computation, however defined), increasingly human autonomous (in the replication of its complexity, again however defined) and increasingly biologically-inspired (having features of evolutionary development or organization increasingly similar to our own) than the last.

In fact, these accelerating computational capacity and efficiency trends have held for centuries, and physicists today see no near-term limit to their continuance, other than the limit of fundamental universal structure itself. Some 20 to 140 years from now—depending on which evolutionary theorist, systems theorist, computer scientist, technology studies scholar, or futurist you happen to agree with—the ever-increasing rate technological change in our local environment will undergo a "singularity," becoming human-surpassing and, from our perspective, effectively instantaneous in both the rate and significance of its self-improvement.

In science, a singularity is a type of phase change, a special physical environment where new physical properties and capacities emerge, with dynamics described by new types of laws that can't be fully understood from a pre-singularity perspective. The emergence of human consciousness was one such (human culture) singularity: note that the laws, perceptions, and ethics that accompany human culture cannot be directly understood from the perspective of non-human animal species. Self-aware computers may very likely create another such (technological) singularity, bringing entirely new forms of intelligence and interdependence into the world. To what extent are we facilitating the emergence of this singularity? To what extent will we change ourselves to participate in it? Perhaps most importantly, as technology continues to accelerate, how do we best ensure today that it serves human ends?

The continued acceleration of local technological intelligence is very likely to be the central driver and determinant of the modern era. Hesitantly at first, and quickly now, our increasingly fast and microscopic technological extensions of our humanity may soon learn (encode, predict, and understand) both the physical and abstract nature of all the slow and macroscopic systems in our local environment—our biological selves included. 

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